Archive for May, 2008

Life in the Peace Corps, Part 1, The Decision

Friday, May 23rd, 2008

For the next several Fridays, I am going to retell some of my experiences from my service in the United States Peace Corps. This is probably not obviously directly related to the aim of True Progress, but I feel that it can be instructive and I believe that the Peace Corps has a specific and [...]

For the next several Fridays, I am going to retell some of my experiences from my service in the United States Peace Corps. This is probably not obviously directly related to the aim of True Progress, but I feel that it can be instructive and I believe that the Peace Corps has a specific and valuable role to play in progress around the world. So, understanding at least one image of how it currently works and could work in the future is valuable both in correctly interpreting some of my ideas and formulating your own on how to use or not use this agency. Read the rest of this entry »

May 23rd, 2008 development     By Jeremy Gernand

Progress and Unintended Consequences

Thursday, May 22nd, 2008

So, what happens when the very actions that we each individually take to improve our lives in the end cause detrimental consequences to all of us? The sage might say that the road to hell is paved with good intentions, and she might be right. But, does it have to be that way? Are we [...]

So, what happens when the very actions that we each individually take to improve our lives in the end cause detrimental consequences to all of us? The sage might say that the road to hell is paved with good intentions, and she might be right. But, does it have to be that way? Are we doomed to one step forward and one step back? Can we anticipate the things that might go wrong? And, how important is the collective good when compared to personal freedom? Read the rest of this entry »

May 22nd, 2008 policy     By Jeremy Gernand

Review – Microscale Heat Transfer – Fundamentals and Applications

Wednesday, May 21st, 2008

This review concerns a niche of mechanical engineering that involves heat transfer at very small scales. Understanding this phenomenon, which is considerably different from typical heat transfer and thermodynamics experienced in the everyday world, is critical to the advancement of nanotechnological machines and microelectromechanical systems (MEMS).

This review concerns a niche of mechanical engineering that involves heat transfer at very small scales. Understanding this phenomenon, which is considerably different from typical heat transfer and thermodynamics experienced in the everyday world, is critical to the advancement of nanotechnological machines and microelectromechanical systems (MEMS). Read the rest of this entry »

May 21st, 2008 analysis     By Jeremy Gernand

Energy Efficiency: Good News onto Deaf Ears ?

Tuesday, May 20th, 2008

Energy efficiency is a wonderful investment both for businesses and consumers often paying far better returns than the stock and bond markets. If so, then why don’t we take advantage of it? Increases in efficiency can reduce energy consumption for the same or increasing amount of output. All the while, pollution is reduced and money [...]

Energy efficiency is a wonderful investment both for businesses and consumers often paying far better returns than the stock and bond markets. If so, then why don’t we take advantage of it? Increases in efficiency can reduce energy consumption for the same or increasing amount of output. All the while, pollution is reduced and money is saved increasing the health and well being of our communities. Is all of this good news falling on deaf ears? Read the rest of this entry »

May 20th, 2008 analysis     By Jeremy Gernand

Assigning a Value to Life

Monday, May 19th, 2008

Why considering a monetary value of life is not only acceptable, but morally necessary Typically, the first time we consider someone placing a monetary value on protecting a life, the risk of death, or other similar circumstances, we cringe. The mere mention of life in the context of money seems cruel and far too calculating. [...]

Why considering a monetary value of life is not only acceptable, but morally necessary

Typically, the first time we consider someone placing a monetary value on protecting a life, the risk of death, or other similar circumstances, we cringe. The mere mention of life in the context of money seems cruel and far too calculating. Rightly, we have learned that an absolute monetary value cannot be placed on the worth of a person whether young or old, experienced or inexperienced, whatever race they are or religion they hold. This article is not going to challenge any of those ethics. Life is a priceless phenomenon and every person’s experience is something to be held at the pinnacle of our value system. Read the rest of this entry »

May 19th, 2008 risk     By Jeremy Gernand

Review – Kill-A-Watt Electricity Usage Monitor

Friday, May 16th, 2008

With energy costs increasing faster than inflation and much faster than income in the United States, many have a desire to conserve. But, without information, our conservation may be more expensive than it is worth and hardly as effective as it could have been. The kill-a-watt electricity usage monitor provides a useful way to be [...]

With energy costs increasing faster than inflation and much faster than income in the United States, many have a desire to conserve. But, without information, our conservation may be more expensive than it is worth and hardly as effective as it could have been. The kill-a-watt electricity usage monitor provides a useful way to be smart about conservation. Increase the efficiency of your home. Read the rest of this entry »

May 16th, 2008 innovations     By Jeremy Gernand

CAFE Standards and Speed Limits, Round 2

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

In this earlier article on the new CAFE standards, I found that depending on the assumptions made for the number of future miles driven, restricting the speed limit to 55 miles per hour would be a more cost effective and more energy efficient solution than changing the CAFE standard. That analysis only considered the total [...]

In this earlier article on the new CAFE standards, I found that depending on the assumptions made for the number of future miles driven, restricting the speed limit to 55 miles per hour would be a more cost effective and more energy efficient solution than changing the CAFE standard. That analysis only considered the total amount of fuel consumed between the two options. Now, let’s take that analysis a few steps further. Read the rest of this entry »

May 15th, 2008 policy     By Jeremy Gernand

Calculating Reliability with Partial Test Results

Wednesday, May 14th, 2008

Getting answers before you are finished. Why are people always so impatient? Why can’t they just wait until testing is complete before they ask for answers? I suppose it is just human nature, as I have heard that question any time I have been involved in reliability testing programs. And, although we would know much [...]

Getting answers before you are finished. Why are people always so impatient? Why can’t they just wait until testing is complete before they ask for answers? I suppose it is just human nature, as I have heard that question any time I have been involved in reliability testing programs. And, although we would know much more if we waited for more data to roll in, there are times that we can evaluate where our project stands on the basis of partial test results. Read the rest of this entry »

May 14th, 2008 analysis     By Jeremy Gernand

Landfills as an Energy Source

Tuesday, May 13th, 2008

As landfills which hold municipal solid waste are closed the emissions from decay of the material in the landfill becomes a pollutant. That pollutant can either contribute to smog and the increase in greenhouse gases, or it can be used as an energy source. A free, environmentally friendly fuel, potentially harmful if released, is not [...]

As landfills which hold municipal solid waste are closed the emissions from decay of the material in the landfill becomes a pollutant. That pollutant can either contribute to smog and the increase in greenhouse gases, or it can be used as an energy source. A free, environmentally friendly fuel, potentially harmful if released, is not being used everywhere? What are we thinking? Read the rest of this entry »

May 13th, 2008 innovations     By Jeremy Gernand

Education in the Developing World

Monday, May 12th, 2008

Increasing the quality and quantity of education in poor countries is critical and absolutely necessary to their development, but let’s not lose sight of how disruptive a free and generous education can be. Education changes cultures, economies, and governments, and for nations entering that transition period the way must be prepared.

Increasing the quality and quantity of education in poor countries is critical and absolutely necessary to their development, but let’s not lose sight of how disruptive a free and generous education can be. Education changes cultures, economies, and governments, and for nations entering that transition period the way must be prepared. Read the rest of this entry »

May 12th, 2008 development     By Jeremy Gernand

Defining Sustainable Technology

Friday, May 9th, 2008

Sustainable technology is an idea that may produce a new level of real progress around the world. But often today, the term is more of a marketing badge that may or may not prove to be true when put to the test. I have written before about sustainable technology and some of the problems with [...]

Sustainable technology is an idea that may produce a new level of real progress around the world. But often today, the term is more of a marketing badge that may or may not prove to be true when put to the test. I have written before about sustainable technology and some of the problems with realizing that idea. In this article, let’s consider a set of objectives that we can use to actually measure whether something is sustainable. Read the rest of this entry »

May 9th, 2008 development, policy     By Jeremy Gernand

Convert B10 or L10 Bearing Life to MTBF (Mean Time Between Failures)

Thursday, May 8th, 2008

As a reliability analyst, sometimes none of your data matches the form you are interested in. It all comes in different collections of units, statistical distribution parameters, failure rates, environments, MTBF, MTTF, and on and on. In this article, let’s consider one common conversion for which my research found too little information available on the [...]

As a reliability analyst, sometimes none of your data matches the form you are interested in. It all comes in different collections of units, statistical distribution parameters, failure rates, environments, MTBF, MTTF, and on and on. In this article, let’s consider one common conversion for which my research found too little information available on the internet. Read the rest of this entry »

May 8th, 2008 analysis     By Jeremy Gernand

Producing Enough Engineers in the United States

Wednesday, May 7th, 2008

What is the state of the American university system?  Does it produce the types of professionals needed to keep the American economy strong and innovative? We often hear a lot about how our contemporary economy requires plenty of professionals skilled in science and technology to maintain a healthy rate of innovation. There are are many [...]

What is the state of the American university system?  Does it produce the types of professionals needed to keep the American economy strong and innovative?

We often hear a lot about how our contemporary economy requires plenty of professionals skilled in science and technology to maintain a healthy rate of innovation. There are are many reasons why science and engineering degrees are often used as barometers or leading indicators of the future state of innovation of the American economy. Read the rest of this entry »

May 7th, 2008 policy     By Jeremy Gernand

True Progress Releases Free Weibull Reliability Calculator

Tuesday, May 6th, 2008

True-Progress.com has released its Free Weibull Reliability Calculator version 1.0.2. You can download this tool by following this link. This simple calculator utilizes the Weibull distribution to generate reliability data for your system

True-Progress.com has released its Free Weibull Reliability Calculator version 1.0.2.

You can download this tool by following this link.

This simple calculator utilizes the Weibull distribution to generate reliability data for your system Read the rest of this entry »

May 6th, 2008 innovations     By Jeremy Gernand

The Fallacy of Human Error

Monday, May 5th, 2008

Why pilots (and humans in general) get a bad rap during accident investigations. In my earlier article on root cause analysis, I mentioned that every cause present in a given situation can be considered equally responsible for the occurrence of the failure in question. Many times, however, investigations end up ascribing the fault of the [...]

Why pilots (and humans in general) get a bad rap during accident investigations.

In my earlier article on root cause analysis, I mentioned that every cause present in a given situation can be considered equally responsible for the occurrence of the failure in question. Many times, however, investigations end up ascribing the fault of the entire situation to a particular “root cause” that may or may not have happened without the presence of other contributing causes. When we identify the “root cause” as human error and fail to take actions against the system that set up that error, we are perpetuating the problem. Read the rest of this entry »

May 5th, 2008 risk     By Jeremy Gernand

A Call to an Internet Arms Race

Friday, May 2nd, 2008

Progress via a True Global Internet In our contemporary world, one of the most important factors constraining the growth of societies is lack of information. In some places, infrastructure is not sufficiently developed in communications and electricity and the availability of electronics in the market to even allow people to connect to the information available [...]

Progress via a True Global Internet

In our contemporary world, one of the most important factors constraining the growth of societies is lack of information. In some places, infrastructure is not sufficiently developed in communications and electricity and the availability of electronics in the market to even allow people to connect to the information available via the internet. In other places, totalitarian governments partially or entirely limit the access their people have to the information available on the internet. Read the rest of this entry »

May 2nd, 2008 policy     By Jeremy Gernand

Conservation and the Marketplace

Thursday, May 1st, 2008

How Conservation and Efficiency Can Sometimes Increase Consumption Conservation and efficiency are always good, right? Unfortunately, not always. Many of us, myself included, consider ourselves conservationists. We don’t buy or take things that we don’t need (for example, lots of extra paper napkins at the restaurant). We consider the energy efficiency of our vehicles, appliances, [...]

How Conservation and Efficiency Can Sometimes Increase Consumption

Conservation and efficiency are always good, right? Unfortunately, not always.

Many of us, myself included, consider ourselves conservationists. We don’t buy or take things that we don’t need (for example, lots of extra paper napkins at the restaurant). We consider the energy efficiency of our vehicles, appliances, and other things we use in our homes. And, in principle, we are in favor of measures that encourage everyone to conserve more like recycling. But, things don’t always turn out as we expect, and we must be diligent that our conservation measures don’t end up resulting in more consumption than would otherwise have occured.

There are several causes and conditions for this type of occurence, and most involve market economics. To illustrate my point with an example, let’s consider a few potential conservation regulations that could be enacted by a municipal government. Read the rest of this entry »

May 1st, 2008 economics     By Jeremy Gernand




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